Year: 2026 | Month: June | Volume 71 | Issue 2

Assessing the Impact of Climate and Agricultural Variables on Rice Yield in Punjab

Karnati Kiran Kumar and Naveen Kumar
DOI:10.46852/0424-2513.2.2026.3

Abstract:

Rice is a vital staple crop in India, with Punjab being one of its largest producers and making a significant contribution to the country’s food security. In recent years, Punjab has faced several impacts of climate change, such as rising temperatures and fluctuations in rainfall, which affect rice production. In this context, the current study examines the interdependence between climate variables and rice yield in Punjab from 1990 to 2022 by using the Granger causality test and the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The estimated VAR results were then employed for future predictions.



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