Year: 2025 | Month: June | Volume 70 | Issue 2
An Analysis of Growth Trends in Sorghum Crop Production in
Rajasthan State
Narendra Yadav
Sonu Jain
P.S. Shekhawat
Manoj Kumar Sharma
Shivraj Kumawat
R.C. Asiwal
Shobhana Bishnoi
DOI:10.46852/0424-2513.2.2025.15
Abstract:
Sorghum is one of the most important cereal crops in the world. Due to importance of the crop, the study examined its trends in area, production and productivity in Ajmer, Pali, Nagaur, Tonk districts as well as Rajasthan state. Study was based on secondary data collected from Directorate of Economics & Statistics, Pant Krishi Bhawan, Govt. of Rajasthan, Jaipurfora period of 20 years i.e., from 2001-02 to 2020-21. In case of area and production of Ajmer, Pali, Nagaur, Tonk districts and Rajasthan state, loglinear
model was best fitted and for productivity, linear model for Ajmer, Pali districts and quadratic model for Nagaur district and exponential model was best fitted for Tonk district and Rajasthan state. Results revealed that growth rate in area was significantly positive at 0.5874, 0.2739 per cent, respectively for Ajmer and Nagaur districts and negative i.e., 1.0064, 1.3724 per cent for Pali and Tonk districts, respectively. For Rajasthan state as a whole, it was significantly negative at 0.3524 per cent. Results were significant at 1per cent level of significance. Furthermore, the results showed that growth rate in production was significantly positive i.e., 4.874, 1.3784, 2.6865, 5.1454 and 3.3641 per cent per annum for Ajmer, Pali, Nagaur, Tonk and Rajasthan state as whole, respectively. The productivity growth rate was also significantly positive i.e., 4.6181, 2.906, 2.9153, 5.9387 and 4.1207 per cent per annum for Ajmer, Pali, Nagaur, Tonk and Rajasthan state as whole, respectively. Decomposition analysis of sorghum production
in Rajasthan (2001–02 to 2020–21) revealed that area effect was the dominant contributor across districts, while, productivity and interaction effects varied significantly over time and space. In Ajmer, productivity was the key driver during Period-I (14.47% p.a.), while area effect (250.96%) dominated in Period-II. In Pali, productivity led growth in Period-II (97.88%), whereas the area effect (250.67%) explained most of the overall increase. Tonk and Nagaur districts showed negative productivity effects across periods, with area effects contributing over 95% and 179%, respectively, in total production increases. At the state level, despite negative productivity (7.37%) and interaction (11.41%) effects over the overall period, the area effect (118.77%) was the principal source of growth in sorghum production.
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